I was taught two different ways to parallel park. I am sure there are more than just two methods. This strikes me as odd since it’s a very common part of driving. Nevertheless,
I hate parallel parking and it was a constant source of anxiety when learning to drive. Apparently I’m not alone in this:
Over half (57%) of car owners surveyed report feeling stressed or anxious about parallel parking, with women and younger drivers reporting higher levels of anxiety.
Instrumental Convergence hypothesizes that sufficiently intelligent agents with similar to the same sub-goals will converge on those methods or instruments of achieving that. Parking your car parallel to the curb would appear to be one of those. Yet the methods it is done, and the methods of teaching it remain diverse despite possibly a century of hundreds of millions of drivers doing it. With such brute-force exploration strategies why have car drivers as a collective not converged on a single stress-free way to parallel park?
We can observe in nature convergent evolution. And there are many cases of multiple discovery: Both Leibniz and Newton independently arrived at Calculus is a common, but potentially controversial example of multiple independent discovery.
I have long been under impression that as a domain matures, through a combination of Mathew Effects and adopting the easier or better solution – they converge. Academy Award winner Walter Murch noted that in the early days of the car they didn’t all have steering wheels, there were many different approaches to steering, braking, and acceleration until the “UI” eventually converged on three or two pedals, and a steering wheel. He made the analogy that NLE suites had converged on a single UI. Whether they converge on the best method or best UI or not is not as important as they converge on a single thing- much modern technology uses roads and wheels. A.I. research is almost certainly not at the point of convergence yet, there’s still a lot of exciting techniques and methods to discover.
In microcosm learning is often the same for an individual as a whole discipline, you try out a whole lot of different approaches to something until you hit upon techniques that provide consistently acceptable results. When I was learning parallel parking I struggled to find different means of representing space, looking for different markers, turning the wheel to different degrees. And I assume through sheer trial and error I accidentally hit upon something which was more consistent.
Ya know,
So again I wonder: why was I taught two different ways to do the one – very common – thing?
Maybe not enough time has elapsed. As Orgel’s Second Rule goes:
“Evolution is cleverer than you are.”
So how long have people been parallel parking for?
I don’t know when parallel parking was first invented. “Ranking” cars – where cars lined up in single file along the curb since the early 1900s. The first curb-side parking meters were introduced as late as 1935 – it was patented by Carl Magee and introduced to Oklahoma while he was a newspaper editor there. So parallel parking is at least 90 years old.
Is 90+ years long enough for drivers to have converged on a single method of parallel parking that consistently works (and how long will it take to converge on a single approach to teaching that best approach?). It’s not just 90 years though, there’s also the number of drivers and man hours spent driving.
In 2021 there were 232.8 million licensed drivers in the United States. In 2022 there were 463 million licensed car drivers in China. I was unable to find in a timely manner number of licensed drivers in the E.U. but there are 49 million “passenger cars” in Germany. One estimate puts the total “vehicle fleet” of the E.U., U.K. and EFTA at 335 million. Obviously not all these drivers and cars are being driven every day. But it does give us the ability to do a Fermi Estimate on how many man hours have gone into driving, and maybe even how much collective experience there in in Parallel Parking.
Over the course of almost 100 years over a billion people have driven a car, it is not outrageous to assume that at least 500 million of them have learned to parallel park. So why is it so hard? Why does it continue to provide such a source of anxiety for us? So much so that it is a television trope?
If one approach is simply better – why isn’t everybody doing it?
Which begs the question: how do Waymos do it? And do they do it the same/differently to other self-driving cars.
It is easy to make misanthropic jokes that humans aren’t intelligent agents. But even if Parallel Parking isn’t a sub-goal to which agents like humans can converge, there remain numerous examples – within the automobile itself – of convergence as domains of knowledge mature or interoperability needs force convergence.
Why can’t this everyday annoyance get sorted?